Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.23/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/1.44
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 84
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2025 Tochigi City Tochigi City 3-2 HT 3-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Tochigi City
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
244 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Tochigi City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 42% of the ball to Tochigi City's 58%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Tochigi City in the Japan - J3 League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 29%, draw 26%, Tochigi City 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tochigi City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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