Ordabasy Shymkent 7-1 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
+13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Okzhetpes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
21.06.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
10.07.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-4 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
21.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
30.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-3 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
07.03.2020 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
19.07.2015 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent ran out comfortable winners over Okzhetpes 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.33 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Okzhetpes?

Ordabasy Shymkent 7-1 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 60%, draw 18%, Okzhetpes 22%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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