Okzhetpes 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.0pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
0.92/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.94
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
207 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
10.07.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-4 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
21.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
30.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-3 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
07.03.2020 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
19.07.2015 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
07.05.2015 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Okzhetpes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ordabasy Shymkent found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Okzhetpes and 2.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Okzhetpes 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 27%, draw 36%, Ordabasy Shymkent 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5
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