Kairat 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.22/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.57
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
17.08.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
02.03.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.07.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1 HT 2-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
24.06.2023 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
02.05.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat edged past Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 0.83 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Kairat 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kairat 64%, draw 20%, Kyzyl-Zhar 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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