Tobol 2-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.3pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.07/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.83
-4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
18.08.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-3 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
24.09.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
02.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2021 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Zhetysu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Zhetysu?

Tobol 2-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tobol 62%, draw 22%, Zhetysu 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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