Zhetysu 1-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
26%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 53%
-22% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.61/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.96
-31% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tobol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.06.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
13.04.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
18.08.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-3 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
24.09.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
02.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Zhetysu 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zhetysu and 1.50 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Zhetysu 1-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 18%, draw 30%, Tobol 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
19 Oct 2025
15:00 FC Astana vs Aktobe Analysis →
16:00 Ordabasy Shymkent vs Okzhetpes Analysis →