Atletico Grau 0-2 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.61/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.47
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.5 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
30.09.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.09.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
23.07.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
0-2
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.54 xG 1.12
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
449 Passes 129
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca beat Atletico Grau 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Grau at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 71% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 29%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.54 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Grau.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.17 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Atletico Grau 0-2 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 62%, draw 20%, UTC Cajamarca 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Grau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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