Belenenses vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belenenses v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Belenenses vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-0
Belenenses
PRLK
2-2
HT 2-0
Belenenses
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Belenenses
POR
2-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
HAZ
Belenenses 1-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril squeezed past Belenenses 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Estoril made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Belenenses had 43% of the ball to Estoril's 57%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belenenses and 1.67 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Belenenses vs Estoril?
Belenenses 1-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belenenses vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belenenses 36%, draw 26%, Estoril 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.