Caldas 1-0 Mirandela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-3.7pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandela EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.85/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/6.00
-2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
548 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-0
AWAY Mirandela
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Mirandela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas squeezed past Mirandela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Caldas had 54% of the ball to Mirandela's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Mirandela?

Caldas 1-0 Mirandela in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Mirandela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Caldas 67%, draw 17%, Mirandela 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
19 Oct 2025
16:00 Fafe vs Moreirense Analysis →
17:00 Uniao Lamas vs Vitoria Guimaraes Analysis →
17:00 Amarante vs Leixoes Analysis →
17:00 Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Resende Analysis →
17:00 Silves FC vs Louletano Analysis →
17:00 Sintrense vs Rio Ave Analysis →