Dezembro 1-1 Benfica Castelo Branco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2025

Dezembro
1-1 HT 0-0
Benfica Castelo Branco
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Dezembro vs Benfica Castelo Branco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dezembro v Benfica Castelo Branco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica Castelo Branco EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Benfica Castelo Branco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Benfica Castelo Branco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Dezembro carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Benfica Castelo Branco?

Dezembro 1-1 Benfica Castelo Branco in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Benfica Castelo Branco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 61%, draw 19%, Benfica Castelo Branco 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dezembro), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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