Naples 0-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.98/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.16
+12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +147%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.9 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.95 xG 0.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
293 Passes 533
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-1 HT 0-0 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
0-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.73 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
327 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naples vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Naples 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Spokane Velocity found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 50% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.68 — on chances, Naples could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Naples vs Spokane Velocity?

Naples 0-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naples 35%, draw 28%, Spokane Velocity 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ BTTS Yes
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