Union Omaha 4-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.2pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.8 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.05.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
21.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
28.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
4-0
AWAY Forward Madison
2.16 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
410 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha cruised past Forward Madison 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Union Omaha had 56% of the ball to Forward Madison's 44%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.16 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Omaha and 1.00 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Union Omaha 4-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 57%, draw 23%, Forward Madison 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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