Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.82/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.28
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 3-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
10.02.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
08.11.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.12.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 1-2 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
2-4
AWAY Guiseley
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley beat Ashton United 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Guiseley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Ashton United had 44% of the ball to Guiseley's 56%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ashton United and 1.17 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 35%, draw 27%, Guiseley 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →