Guiseley 3-0 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.50
-36% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ashton United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
08.11.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.12.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 1-2 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
3-0
AWAY Ashton United
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley cruised past Ashton United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guiseley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guiseley had 59% of the ball to Ashton United's 41%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ashton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Guiseley and 1.40 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Guiseley 3-0 Ashton United in the England - FA Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 44%, draw 23%, Ashton United 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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