Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.29/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.34
-10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Poole Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-7 HT 2-4 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
19.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
07.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 0-1 HT 0-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine and Poole Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Poole Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 2.33 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town?

Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Poole Town in the England - FA Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 37%, draw 20%, Poole Town 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poole Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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