Leiston 4-1 Waltham Abbey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Waltham Abbey EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
2.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -56%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
4-1
AWAY Waltham Abbey
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Waltham Abbey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston swept aside Waltham Abbey 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leiston had 59% of the ball to Waltham Abbey's 41%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Waltham Abbey?

Leiston 4-1 Waltham Abbey in the England - FA Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Waltham Abbey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leiston 49%, draw 29%, Waltham Abbey 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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