Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 35% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.15
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.28
X/X
17%
4.68
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
13%
7.59
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.16
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.6 Crosses 12.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.69
77% Ball Possession 23%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
472 Passes 76
85% Pass Accuracy 45%
36 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.20 xG 0.99
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
544 Passes 92
86% Pass Accuracy 51%
30 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 78% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 22%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.20 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 47%, draw 27%, Deportivo Riestra 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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