Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
5.87
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.8
X/1
18%
4.43
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
17%
3.54
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.7
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.37/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.28
-17% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.7 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 0.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
153 Passes 360
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
04.11.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-2 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
07.07.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
20.07.2017 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJK
17.08.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJPBN
13.03.2006 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.91 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
208 Passes 434
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba squeezed past Argentinos Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Instituto Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 37% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 63%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.91 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 42%, draw 32%, Argentinos Juniors 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
19 Nov 2024
01:15 Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra Analysis →
01:15 Platense vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Tucuman vs Huracan Analysis →