Juventus (K) 3-3 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Nov 2025

Juventus (K)
3-3 HT 3-0
Lyon (K)
📅19/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League - Women's – 2025/2026

Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away Pick
75%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
3.17
Over
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
21%
7.54
2-3
31%
2.27
4-5
33%
2.33
6+
15%
4.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.54 — our 21% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
57%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Lyon (K) win — 75% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-0.4pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.7pp
75%
Away Win
76%
-1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventus (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.99/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.36/0.58
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.9
9.6 Crosses 28.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lyon (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
247 Passes 398
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2022 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
27.10.2022 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
31.03.2022 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
23.03.2022 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
15.12.2020 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
09.12.2020 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K

Juventus (K) 3-3 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
3-3
AWAY Lyon (K)
1.58 xG 2.79
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 13
139 Passes 563
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) and Lyon (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lyon (K) carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 25% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 75%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 1.58 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus (K) and 1.83 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Juventus (K) 3-3 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 9%, draw 16%, Lyon (K) 75%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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