Paris (K) 2-0 SL Benfica (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.21
Over
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.31
2-3
44%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.81
6+
9%
7.98
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.31 — our 22% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Paris (K) win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris (K)
2-0
AWAY SL Benfica (K)
1.87 xG 0.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
504 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris (K) vs SL Benfica (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris (K) got the better of SL Benfica (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Paris (K) had 63% of the ball to SL Benfica (K)'s 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Paris (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Paris (K) 2-0 SL Benfica (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Paris (K) 53%, draw 21%, SL Benfica (K) 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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