Valerenga (K) 2-2 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
76%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.98
Over
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.98
2-3
34%
2.2
4-5
30%
2.37
6+
17%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Valerenga (K) win — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
80%
-4.0pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.0pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.42/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/3.03
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 6.7
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga (K)
2-2
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
2.92 xG 1.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
450 Passes 378
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
58 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valerenga (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga (K) and St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Valerenga (K) carried 76% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valerenga (K) had 54% of the ball to St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)'s 46%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.92 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Valerenga (K) 2-2 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 76%, draw 13%, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 11%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valerenga (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
19 Nov 2025
20:45 Juventus (K) vs Lyon (K) Analysis →
20:45 Wolfsburg (K) vs Manchester United (K) Analysis →
23:00 Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Analysis →
23:00 Paris (K) vs SL Benfica (K) Analysis →