Inter 2-0 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.25
X/1
16%
3.62
X/2
7%
15.5
X/X
7%
6.93
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
7%
12.0
2/X
7%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Inter win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.11/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.75
-6% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
32.7 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Udinese
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.54 xG 0.84
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
514 Passes 266
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-3 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
08.04.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.12.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 3-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
18.02.2023 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
18.09.2022 Udinese Udinese 3-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
01.05.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-0
AWAY Udinese
1.26 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
460 Passes 319
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter saw off Udinese 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Inter had 57% of the ball to Udinese's 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.26 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Inter and 1.33 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Inter vs Udinese?

Inter 2-0 Udinese in the Italy - Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Inter 59%, draw 22%, Udinese 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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