Udinese vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Inter — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Udinese
İTA
3-1
HT 1-1
Udinese
İTA
3-1
HT 1-1
Inter
İTA
1-2
HT 0-2
Inter
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
Udinese 2-3 Inter — Actual Match Statistics
Inter squeezed past Udinese 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Udinese had 40% of the ball to Inter's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.77 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Udinese and 2.33 for Inter.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Inter?
Udinese 2-3 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Inter?
Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Udinese 24%, draw 28%, Inter 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.