Genoa vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
2-1
HT 0-0
Juventus
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Genoa
İTA
3-2
HT 2-1
Genoa
İTK
Genoa 0-3 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus cruised past Genoa 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Genoa had 34% of the ball to Juventus's 66%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.44 to 2.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genoa and 1.67 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Juventus?
Genoa 0-3 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Genoa 25%, draw 26%, Juventus 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.