Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima and Atletico Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 65% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 35%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 41%, draw 29%, Atletico Nacional 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.