PFC Beroe 0-4 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
72%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
34%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.1pp
72%
Away Win
73%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 78%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.46/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.39
-43% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +104%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
25.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
26.02.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
27.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
03.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-4
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past PFC Beroe 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 34% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 66%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for PFC Beroe and 2.40 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

PFC Beroe 0-4 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 11%, draw 17%, Ludogorets Razgrad 72%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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