Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.05
No
62%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-14.8pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.1pp
15%
Away Win
5%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
29%
+9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
71%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
2.88/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.37
+47% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +53%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
510 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
26.02.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
27.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
03.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past PFC Beroe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 70% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 30%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.25 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 65%, draw 20%, PFC Beroe 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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