CSKA Sofia 2-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 19%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.28
-25% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
27.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia saw off Arda Kardzhali 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 56% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 44%, shots finished 8-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA Sofia 2-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 50%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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