Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Septemvri Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 48% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 52%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.50 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, draw 27%, Septemvri Sofia 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.