Canet Roussillon 0-1 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
19%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canet Roussillon EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 69%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.02/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.84
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
13.0 Crosses 28.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canet Roussillon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 2.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
331 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2021 Canet Roussillon Canet Roussillon 1-2 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canet Roussillon
0-1
AWAY Montpellier
0.33 xG 2.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
182 Passes 348
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canet Roussillon vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier nicked a narrow win over Canet Roussillon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Canet Roussillon had 41% of the ball to Montpellier's 59%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.33 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montpellier's control.

What was the final score of Canet Roussillon vs Montpellier?

Canet Roussillon 0-1 Montpellier in the France - Cup on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canet Roussillon vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Canet Roussillon 16%, draw 25%, Montpellier 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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