Avranches 1-1 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 19 Dec 2025

Avranches
1-1 HT 1-1
Brest
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Avranches vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avranches v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avranches EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 66%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.39
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.0 Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Avranches vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avranches
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Brest
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.32 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
425 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 22
The Meetings
12.07.2024 Brest Brest 2-0 Avranches Avranches HAZ
07.01.2023 Avranches Avranches 0-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FRK

Avranches 1-1 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avranches
1-1
AWAY Brest
1.24 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
346 Passes 383
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avranches vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avranches and Brest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Brest carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Avranches had 48% of the ball to Brest's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.24 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Avranches and 2.00 for Brest.

What was the final score of Avranches vs Brest?

Avranches 1-1 Brest in the France - Cup on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avranches vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Avranches 20%, draw 22%, Brest 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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