12/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Brest vs Avranches Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
19%
Draw
16%
22%
Away Win
13%
35%
Under 2.5
25%
65%
Over 2.5
75%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brest v Avranches — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brest
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Avranches
EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-89%
/
-25%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
395 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Brest vs Avranches Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Brest
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Avranches
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
1.82
xG
0.32
47%
Ball Possession
53%
21
Total Shots
4
9
Shots on Target
1
9
Corners
2
359
Passes
425
84%
Pass Accuracy
85%
26
Box Touches
15
22
Crosses
7
The Meetings
07.01.2023
Avranches
0-2
HT 0-0
Brest
FRK
0-2
HT 0-0
Brest
FRK
Brest 2-0 Avranches — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Brest
2-0
AWAY
Avranches
63%
Ball Possession
37%
21
Total Shots
4
11
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
POST-MATCH
Brest vs Avranches
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brest saw off Avranches 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brest had 63% of the ball to Avranches's 37%, shots finished 21-4.
What was the final score of Brest vs Avranches?
Brest 2-0 Avranches in the Friendlies on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brest vs Avranches?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Brest 59%, draw 19%, Avranches 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Brest)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
12 Jul 2024