Guingamp 0-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.57
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.4
X/2
7%
8.31
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.86
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.20
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
435 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
29.03.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.08.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
17.05.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
29.04.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.76 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
479 Passes 339
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois edged past Guingamp 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Guingamp had 57% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 43%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.76 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Guingamp 0-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Cup on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 43%, draw 30%, Stade Lavallois 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guingamp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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