Guingamp 2-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.24
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
19%
4.09
X/2
8%
9.72
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
8.32
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.42
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.2 Crosses 17.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
416 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
17.05.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.09.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
29.04.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
06.08.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.03.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
3.79 xG 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
635 Passes 250
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp beat Stade Lavallois 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Guingamp had 69% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 31%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.79 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guingamp and 1.17 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Guingamp 2-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 49%, draw 28%, Stade Lavallois 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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