Grenoble 1-2 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Mar 2025

Grenoble
1-2 HT 1-2
Lorient
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Grenoble vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.67
1/2
10%
23.3
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
11%
10.5
X/2
10%
4.11
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.08
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.07/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.19
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -53%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
14.3 Crosses 19.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1

Grenoble vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Lorient
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
29.11.2019 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.02.2019 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
03.09.2018 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
03.04.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
28.11.2009 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR1

Grenoble 1-2 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-2
AWAY Lorient
0.70 xG 2.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
300 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient nicked a narrow win over Grenoble 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Grenoble had 43% of the ball to Lorient's 57%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.70 to 2.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lorient's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grenoble and 1.67 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Lorient?

Grenoble 1-2 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 28%, draw 22%, Lorient 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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