Petrojet 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
4.96
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 38% vs market 36.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrojet
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ismaily
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.14 xG 0.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
160 Passes 276
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
24.11.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-0 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
12.03.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSRK
01.10.2014 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrojet edged past Ismaily 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrojet as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Petrojet had 52% of the ball to Ismaily's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Petrojet and 0.75 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs Ismaily?

Petrojet 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - League Cup on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 52%, draw 25%, Ismaily 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrojet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Petrojet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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