Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
34%
2.58
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.22
Over 2.5
27%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.2pp
34%
Draw
36%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
78%
-5.4pp
27%
Over 2.5
22%
+5.4pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.3pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pharco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
268 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSRK
01.02.2025 Pharco Pharco 3-2 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
19.04.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
24.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
27.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
25.04.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-1
AWAY Pharco
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Pharco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 44% of the ball to Pharco's 56%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pharco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.33 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 Pharco in the Egypt - League Cup on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 35%, draw 34%, Pharco 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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