Barrow 1-3 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.18
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.17/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.35
-10% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
256 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.8 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
187 Passes 288
62% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
07.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.10.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-3
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.06 xG 3.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
314 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra got the better of Barrow 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Barrow had 50% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.06 to 3.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barrow and 1.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra?

Barrow 1-3 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barrow 43%, draw 28%, Crewe Alexandra 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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