Gillingham 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

Gillingham
1-1 HT 0-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
13%
3.95
X/2
9%
8.95
X/X
17%
4.65
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
9%
7.19
2/X
5%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gillingham v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.52/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
-45% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 67%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
26.0 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.73 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
338 Passes 171
74% Pass Accuracy 56%
19 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2

Gillingham 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.67 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
340 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Forest Green Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gillingham had 56% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.67 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Gillingham 1-1 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 48%, draw 27%, Forest Green Rovers 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5
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