Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dorchester Town v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals
Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
Dorchester Town
FAK
3-2
HT 0-1
Dorchester Town
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
1-3
HT 0-2
Dorchester Town
İNGNLP
1-3
HT 0-1
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Dorchester Town
İNGNLP
Dorchester Town nicked a narrow win over Merthyr Town 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Merthyr Town carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dorchester Town and 2.17 for Merthyr Town.
What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town?
Dorchester Town 3-2 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 29%, draw 16%, Merthyr Town 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merthyr Town) went the other way.