Walton & Hersham 3-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+3.2pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
1.74/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/2.13
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walton & Hersham
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Winchester City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
19.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walton & Hersham
3-1
AWAY Winchester City
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walton & Hersham vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walton & Hersham beat Winchester City 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Walton & Hersham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Walton & Hersham had 46% of the ball to Winchester City's 54%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Winchester City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Walton & Hersham and 2.00 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Walton & Hersham vs Winchester City?

Walton & Hersham 3-1 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walton & Hersham vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Walton & Hersham 36%, draw 31%, Winchester City 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walton & Hersham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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