Alberes Argeles 0-1 Bayonne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
63%
-17.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alberes Argeles The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayonne The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alberes Argeles vs Bayonne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayonne squeezed past Alberes Argeles 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alberes Argeles at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Alberes Argeles vs Bayonne?

Alberes Argeles 0-1 Bayonne in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alberes Argeles vs Bayonne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alberes Argeles win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alberes Argeles 45%, draw 26%, Bayonne 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alberes Argeles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alberes Argeles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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