Cagnes-Le Cros 2-1 Montpellier II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagnes-Le Cros The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier II The Market 26%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagnes-Le Cros
2-1
AWAY Montpellier II
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cagnes-Le Cros vs Montpellier II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagnes-Le Cros squeezed past Montpellier II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cagnes-Le Cros as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cagnes-Le Cros had 27% of the ball to Montpellier II's 73%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Cagnes-Le Cros vs Montpellier II?

Cagnes-Le Cros 2-1 Montpellier II in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagnes-Le Cros vs Montpellier II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagnes-Le Cros win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cagnes-Le Cros 49%, draw 27%, Montpellier II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagnes-Le Cros), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cagnes-Le Cros) ✓ Over 2.5
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