Ergué-Gaberic 3-1 Stade Briochin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
40%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.1pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergué-Gaberic The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin II The Market 34%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ergué-Gaberic vs Stade Briochin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ergué-Gaberic beat Stade Briochin II 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ergué-Gaberic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Ergué-Gaberic vs Stade Briochin II?

Ergué-Gaberic 3-1 Stade Briochin II in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergué-Gaberic vs Stade Briochin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ergué-Gaberic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ergué-Gaberic 42%, draw 32%, Stade Briochin II 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ergué-Gaberic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ergué-Gaberic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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