Saint-Nazaire AF 2-1 FC Challans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Nazaire AF The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Challans The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Saint-Nazaire AF vs FC Challans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Nazaire AF nicked a narrow win over FC Challans 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Nazaire AF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Saint-Nazaire AF vs FC Challans?

Saint-Nazaire AF 2-1 FC Challans in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Nazaire AF vs FC Challans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Nazaire AF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saint-Nazaire AF 48%, draw 24%, FC Challans 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Nazaire AF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Nazaire AF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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