Brondby 1-3 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.97
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.73
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.9
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
8%
12.95
X/X
11%
7.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.9
2/2
8%
8.7
2/X
6%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
6.03/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.00
+150% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +92%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hvidovre
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.41 xG 0.46
55% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
441 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Brondby Brondby 4-0 HT 3-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
01.10.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-3 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-3
AWAY Hvidovre
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre got the better of Brondby 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Brondby carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brondby had 65% of the ball to Hvidovre's 35%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Brondby and 0.00 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Hvidovre?

Brondby 1-3 Hvidovre in the Friendlies on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brondby 56%, draw 23%, Hvidovre 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brondby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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