Excelsior Maassluis 5-0 Lisse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisse EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
5-0
AWAY Lisse
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis ran out comfortable winners over Lisse 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Excelsior Maassluis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 44% of the ball to Lisse's 56%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse?

Excelsior Maassluis 5-0 Lisse in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Lisse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lisse win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 35%, draw 27%, Lisse 38%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lisse) ✗ BTTS Yes
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