Koninklijke HFC 1-1 Kozakken Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 31%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+15% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1-1
AWAY Kozakken Boys
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Kozakken Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC and Kozakken Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Koninklijke HFC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 51% of the ball to Kozakken Boys's 49%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Kozakken Boys?

Koninklijke HFC 1-1 Kozakken Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Kozakken Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 43%, draw 30%, Kozakken Boys 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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