Katwijk 1-3 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
30%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.6pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+14.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.35/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
323 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Box Touches 16
43 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
29.08.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
30.03.2019 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City beat Katwijk 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katwijk and 0.50 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Jong Almere City?

Katwijk 1-3 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 53%, draw 17%, Jong Almere City 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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