NEC Nijmegen vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Twente — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
4-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
4-0
HT 3-0
Twente
HOL2
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Twente — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen edged past Twente 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Twente at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 49% of the ball to Twente's 51%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.83 for Twente.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 24%, draw 23%, Twente 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.